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Monday, February 19, 2007

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so good luck getting rid of them entirely

I think voter moods have changed about the kicker and a ballot measure to kill it might just pass. It would certainly be an interesting question given the result of Measure 48 (TABOR). Taxes won't be a winning issue this cycle.

Taxes won't be a winning issue this cycle.

By which I presume you mean, anti-tax positions won't be winners?

You may be right about that... but there's a big difference between not supporting anti-tax measures, and actively supporting tax measures.

And like it or not, most people consider the personal kicker to be "their" money. That's why the Dems are starting with the corporate kicker, because it's a lot easier to win popular support from people when you aren't proposing to take "their" money. ;-)

In any event, I hope you're right. As I posted above, the kicker law in its current form makes no sense. And I certainly wouldn't favor changing it to force people to cough up the difference when revenues are low, so it oughtta be repealed entirely.

but there's a big difference between not supporting anti-tax measures, and actively supporting tax measures.

I think you're right about that. However the Norquist-ites (whom the public despises..Sizemore in Oregon, Eyman here in Warshington) will seek to paint both anti-tax measures AND tax levies with the same brush. And then they're just screaming into the void. Will the public vote for tax increases? We upheld a nickel a gallon gas tax here in Washington. I'm guessing something similar might float through in Oregon as well.

The kicker was painted by Sizemore, McIntyre, and Norquist. The electorate is in no mood to admire their work anymore. I'd bet a measure completely repealing the kicker would get fairly widespread support.

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